Finance

What My 6 Years as an Ag Lender Taught Me About the 2026 Credit Crisis

Erin Smith
  |  
4 min read
11 min read

Before I joined the team at Legacy Farmer, I sat on the other side of the desk. My career began with the USDA as a Farm Service Agent, helping producers navigate disaster relief and county programs. From there, I spent six years as an Ag Loan Officer.

During that time, I learned a hard truth: The worst thing a lender can be for a farmer is a "Yes Man."

In the short term, a "Yes" feels like a win. But in the long term, putting a producer into a product that digs a deeper hole isn't service—it’s a disservice. Being a "bad salesman" but a great partner meant having the guts to say "No" when the numbers didn't work, ensuring the operation stayed structurally sound for the long haul.

The $591 Billion Debt Check

As we move through 2026, the agricultural industry is facing a massive credit hurdle. The USDA projected total Ag debt at nearly $591.8 billion. We are no longer just "talking" about a lending crisis; we are living in it.

This crisis isn't just about the sheer volume of debt. It’s about a fundamental shift in how banks operate:

  • Stricter Standards: Lenders are no longer using debt as a "crutch" for struggling farms. They are looking for strategic growth.
  • The "Homeless" Debt: We are seeing Ag banks closing their doors or completely exiting the Ag sector. That leaves a massive portion of industry debt without a "home," leaving many producers stranded.
  • New Faces, Less Roots: A new generation of loan officers is entering the workforce. They may understand spreadsheets, but many lack the deep Ag roots needed to "speak the language" of a working farm.

Moving from Intimidation to Investment

For many farmers, the bank meeting feels like an interrogation. But for Legacy Farmer members, that energy has shifted. Instead of walking in with a shoebox of receipts hoping for a "Yes," they walk in with clarity.

If you want to be "bankable" in 2026, you must provide three things:

  1. 12-Month Projections: Bankers don't just want to see where you were; they need to see where you are going. If you can't project your cash flow a year out, you aren't managing a business—you’re reacting to one.
  2. Regularity, Not Scarcity: Don’t wait until you need money to talk to your lender. Providing quality financials on a monthly or quarterly basis builds a bridge of transparency.
  3. A Risk Mitigation Plan: Don't hide the risks. Your lender should see that you’ve already identified the "leaks" in your operation and have a plan to plug them.

Don't Wait Until It's Too Late

One of the most dangerous things a producer can do is try to be a "self-starter" when things go sideways. By the time most farmers ask for help, their options have already disappeared.

Your lender should be a partner in your success, but they can only help you if your numbers are sound and your repayment schedule is aligned with reality. When you own your numbers, you own the leverage in the room.

Are you ready to stop guessing and start leading your operation with total financial clarity?

Ready to build a great business?

Get Started Today